The Value of Simulation (And the Danger of Confusing it with Prediction)
The BBC had a fascinating article the other day running under the unfortunate headline of "Supercomputer Predicts Revolution," about an intriguing effort by Kalev Leetaru to use "tone and location" to forecast political revolutions and uprisings, and otherwise anticipate large-scale social disruptions.
As the BBC describes the study:
- Bradley Kreit's blog
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Time on After Shock
From Time:
[S]tarting at 10:02 a.m. on Thursday, you can play a sprawling, multiplayer collaboration game called After Shock to see what happens on the other side.
- Alex Soojung-Kim Pang's blog
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Wall Street Journal on ShakeOut
The Wall Street Journal has an article on After Shock.
The Institute for the Future, a think tank in Palo Alto, designed an alternative-reality computer game in which participants wend their way through a quake-stricken Los Angeles. A sample scenario: "It's three weeks after the quake, you don't have power, your credit cards are useless, and you're paying $10 for a Diet Coke," says Jason Tester, who helped design the game.
- Alex Soojung-Kim Pang's blog
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Ophelia Chong on After Shock
Los Angeles-based writer and designer Ophelia Chong (one of a handful of people who've made me think more positively about Southern California) writes about After Shock in her 404 City blog.
- Alex Soojung-Kim Pang's blog
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