2012 Ten-Year Forecast
2012 Ten-Year Forecast:
A Century of Transformation, A Decade of Turbulence
The future is a question of what is possible. We can imagine a decade of growth and collapse. We know those are both possible. We can face constraints and discipline ourselves to live in a world of new limits. But what about transformation? How do we think about a world that seems impossible by today's rules?
Today, even as the incumbent patterns are fading, a new world is taking shape. It's a world that will flourish by the end of the century. But in the transition from old to new will be turbulence. Seen through this lens of two curves—a descent of the familiar and the ascent of the as-yet-uncharted—the century presents itself as a classic two-curve problem. As the coming decade unfolds, a gap opens up between the old and the new. In this gap, extraordinary innovation and possibility emerge. But often, so do collapse and even chaos. The gap is where the impossible becomes possible. Sometimes for better, sometimes for worse.
Curious about the 2013 Ten-Year Forecast?
While not yet public, you can check out the 2013 Research Agenda for a quick preview.