Ten-Year Forecast Library
2011 Ten-Year Forecast: Rebalancing the World - Research Materials
We are pleased to present the 2011 Ten-Year Forecast research material to our members.
Stepping into the second decade of the 21st century, we encounter a world that is out of balance—and the growing awareness that the task ahead is one of rebalancing everything from wealth and health to...
2010 Ten-Year Forecast: Research Materials - The Future is a High-Resolution Game
We are pleased to publicly release the 2010 Ten-Year Forecast (TYF) research material, The Future is a High-Resolution Game.
This next decade will be one where we become both the gamers and the creators of the game itself. The goals of the game are clear: ...
2009 Ten-Year Forecast: Research Materials
[Conferenece PPTs with their scripts]
The 2009 Ten-Year Forecast Annual Retreat, "Superstructing the Next Decade," took place in historic Cavallo Point in Sausalito, CA on April 20-21, 2009. Materials from this...
Sustainability Outlook Map
Sustainability Outlook is a forward‐thinking project that explores how changing social, cultural and technological conditions are likely to alter the ways that companies integrate sustainability into their business strategies.
Jointly sponsored by Business for Social Responsibility (BSR)...
Finance: Intangible Reforms
Many influential investors, seeking improved ways of detecting
undervalued companies, have identified intangible assets as the
ultimate creators of future value. New tools have emerged for
quantifying these alternative capitals. Think about the increase in
companies...
Manufacturing: Do It Yourself?
3D printers have lead to rapid prototyping and a made a significant
impact on product design. However, rapid prototyping is now morphing
into rapid, high-end manufacturing such as hearing-aid production.
Early versions of machines that can fabricate electronics and displays...
Culture: Digital Native, Civil Spaces
2007 Ten-year Forecast perspective on digital natives and civil spaces
Politics: Participatory Panopticon
2007 Ten-Year Forecast perspective on participatory panopticon
Economics: Ecoscience in the Marketplace
Science and commerce have long been intertwined. From the 17th century,
when Isaac Newton was pioneering mathematics and physics while serving
as Master of the Mint, to today, when academics-turned-entrepreneurs
are familiar figures in high-tech regions, science has been a...
Perspectives Executive Summary
The Future is a passage through worlds we've yet to imagine.
Human transitions are accomplished through passages – whether
culturally sanctioned personal rites of passage or huge migrations
that, only in retrospect, can be seen as movements from one way of life
to...
Communities: Citizens of Sustainability
2007 Ten-Year Forecast perspective on citizens of sustainability
Methodology: The Open Economy Toolkit
2007 Ten-Year Forecast perspective on an open economy toolkit
Science: The Next Revolution?
2007 Ten-Year Forecast perspective on science possibly being the next revolution.
Education: Open Economy Makeover
2007 Ten-Year Forecast perspective on Open Economy Makeover.
Asia: Chinese Comsumer Collectives
2007 Ten-Year Forecast Perspective on Chinese Consumer Collectives.
Super Hero Skills
Ping Quotient
Excellent responsiveness to other people's requests for engagement; strong propensity and ability to reach out to others in a network
Longbroading
Seeing a much bigger picture; thinking in terms of higher level systems, bigger networks,...
2008 Map of the Decade
The view this year is distinctly biological. Even in arenas more social than biological, new biological identities—and new understandings of biological connectedness—draw people into unexpected affiliations. We turn to face the decade with a naturalist’s eye: we’re looking for the intricate...
Map of Future Forces Affecting Sustainability [SR-1073]
Twenty years ago, terms such as "sustainability," "environmentalism," and "health" were virtually unknown in business strategy circles. Today, all of these concepts have evolved broader and more complex definitions and they have moved from the margins to the center...
2008 Ten-Year Forecast Annual Conference Materials
The 2008 Ten-Year Forecast Annual Retreat, "The Future is a New View of Life," took place in San Francisco, CA on April 9 & 10. Materials from this meeting are available for download to TYF members, including:
2008 TYF Map of the Decade (SR-1142)
The view...
40+10 Years of Foresight [SR-1094]
The future is everything we can imagine: the fearsome, the inspiring, the inexplicable, the essential. 40 years ago, our founders imagined a world in which it would be possible to improve human lives and build better institutions by thinking systematically about the future. Today, we call this...
2007 Map of the Decade [SR-1065]
The coming decade is the embarking. Spurred by unavoidable signs of a planet at risk, we begin to look for new ways of living, new ways of measuring and valuing the world around us. What was marginal begins to look mainstream, as people who have been tending the edges of our global culture...
2007 Ten-Year Forecast Annual Research Materials
The future is a passage through worlds we’ve yet to imagine.
Human transitions are accomplished through passages—whether culturally sanctioned personal rites of passage or huge migrations that, only in retrospect, can be seen as movements from one way of life to another. These passages...
2006 Ten-Year Forecast Perspectives [SR-945]
A decade of shapeshifting. The material and the digital worlds have traditionally struggled against each other, each working to overcome the constraints or mimic the affordances of the other. Now, pervasive technologies are bringing about a partnership between the material and digital, and the...
2006 Map of the Decade [SR-977]
A group economy threads together past visions of emergence, new kinds of capital, collective action, grassroots economics, and smart networks—and undoes our traditional ideas about economies of scale and the role of large institutions.
Meanwhile, lightweight infrastructures spin complex...
Rapid Decision Making for Complex Issues [SR-935]
A new capacity for rapid, ad hoc, and distributed decision making is emerging from the intersection of technologies of cooperation and new knowledge about the nature of cooperation and cooperative strategies. This report investigates the challenges, strategies, technologies, and best practices...
2005 Ten-Year Forecast Perspectives [SR-891]
The truth is that we humans face tough times ahead—not 50 to 100 years from now, but by the end of this decade. Whether or not we believe that CO2 is a pollutant responsible for global climate change, the truth is that extreme climate events will increasingly threaten crops, ocean-side...
2005 Map of the Decade [SR-910]
The future is a look around the corner, a different perspective on the place we live right now.
The perspective this year is sober. We humans are fundamentally changing the face of the earth. We are about to become a predominantly urban species, living in megacities of over 20 million...
Technologies of Cooperation [SR-897]
Emerging digital technologies present new opportunities for developing complex cooperative strategies that change the way people work together to solve problems and generate wealth. Central to this class of cooperation-amplifying technologies are eight key clusters, each with distinctive...
2004 Ten-Year Forecast: Perspectives [SR-829]
Long a mantra at the Institute for the Future, this principle is particularly important in times that serve up more than the usual quantum of surprises and uncertainty. Indeed, this decade has so preoccupied us with surprises that nearly halfway into it, it is the first decade in a century to...
Reinventing Customization: New Technologies, New Markets, and New Strategies [SR-807B]
Building on the market lens framework described in the companion report, Beyond Consumer Segmentation: New Technologies, New Market Lenses (IFTF SR-807 A), this report, Reinventing Customization: New Technologies, New Markets, and New Strategies (IFTF SR-807 B), demonstrates...
2003 Map of the Decade [SR-797]
This map is a summary and synthesis of the answers we found in the last year. As a summary, it provides some key highlights from our research results. As a synthesis, it pulls together ideas from across the research programs to create an at-a-glance view of a changing world.
In 2002, we...
The Consumer-Driven Organization: Strategies for Transformation [SR-790]
The consumer-driven organization—an organization that fully utilizes consumer data as a strategic asset—will set the criteria for success in the marketplace over the next decade. Successful consumer-driven organizations will take advantage of two significant and intersecting trends....
2003 Ten-Year Forecast [SR-787]
Welcome to the Institute for the Future’s 25th annual Ten-Year Forecast!
For 25 years, our members have used the Ten-Year Forecastas a series of strategic windows into the future, allowing them to glimpse likely changes in the business landscape and anticipate the threats or...
Regulation: A Fragmented Future [SR-775]
Business regulation has been driven over the last century by the
need to balance business freedom and consumer safety. Over time, dramatic changes in social and economic imperatives have been integrated into this balancing act. What has emerged is a set of basic principles for business...
Demographics in the 21st-Century: Defining Future Markets [SR-772]
Demographic shifts change the fundamental conditions under
which businesses operate. Perhaps the most important demo-
graphic shift in the 20th century was the baby boom in the United
States and around the world after World War II. The baby boom
drove fundamental changes...
2002 Ten-Year Forecast [SR-759]
Welcome to the Institute for the Future’s 24th annual Ten-Year Forecast! For more than two decades, our members have used the Ten-Year Forecastas a series of strategic windows into the future, allowing them to glimpse likely changes in the business landscape and anticipate the threats or...
