IFTF + You
For four decades, the Ten-Year Forecast has been a leading source of foresight for a vanguard of business, government, and community organizations. It is a platform for sensing today’s latent signals, tracking their intersections to understand the ecosystem of choices, and then designing platforms for future resilience.
2015 Research: An Overview
Over the last half century, we’ve watched in awe as the world cracked open and came online. In the next decade, we’ll be rocked by the aftershocks that will transform the very concept of economy.
We face a future in which our familiar templates for business plans are obsolete. Even the language of business planning—the very term business plan—may blind us to what it will take to weather the transformations of economies over the coming decade. This year’s research will map emerging templates of economic success and give shape to new ways of thinking about, talking about, and implementing “business plans” that are compatible with the future unfolding before us.
Specifically, the 2015 Ten-Year Forecast will:
- Map the new economies of the future
- Assess emerging strategies for urgent futures
- Build a toolkit for tapping new value flows
ANNUAL TEN-YEAR FORECAST RETREAT
Three days: Build the foresight scaffold. Experience the future. Reinvent yourself and your organization.
The 2015 Annual Retreat will be an immersion in what’s possible in a world of shifting economies, urgent futures, and rapid prototyping:
- DAY 1 will introduce us to our future karass*—the people we may not know yet but who will help us build the future we want. Together, we’ll build a scaffold—the new mental models we need—to reinvent ourselves, our organizations, and our communities for the emerging economy.
- DAY 2 will be our immersion in urgent futures and the strategies that will help us meet them with success. We’ll visit startups and hacker shops and new community spaces and initiatives to steep ourselves in the APIs of the future and the way people are using them today to invent the world of tomorrow.
- DAY 3 will launch our collaborative experiments. We’ll rapid-prototype new products, services, and business models within and across our organizations. Half design workshop, half hackathon, we’ll use our toolkit to lay the tracks for field testing our new templates over the coming months.
*Karass is a term borrowed from Kurt Vonnegut’s Cat’s Cradle
The starting place for the 2015 Ten-Year Forecast is the re-imagination of the economy. Through a series of videos, we’ll explore the different platforms that might transform our corporate and consumer economies, build new creative, collaborative, and civil economies, and even disrupt the global economy of crime. We’ll view these economies through the lens of our urgent futures, questioning all our models of the economy and even beginning to rebuild the praxis of economics from the bottomup— from the work of pioneers in making and hacking, in technological innovation and social invention.
TOOLKIT OF APIs FOR THE FUTURE
To thrive in this reimagined economy will require a remaking of the basic templates of commerce and social exchange for a networked world. To wrestle with this transition, the 2015 Ten-Year Forecast will explore one of the foundational symbols of this networked world: the API. We’ll identify 10 critical APIs for the future and give you the tools to turn them into practical opportunities for innovation and transformation.
MAP OF THE DECADE
The annual Map of the Decade will put it all together: the big story of economic transformation, the platforms that these new economies will create, and the APIs for the future that will transform the way you think about everything from suppliers and customers to innovation and regulation. All of these, at a glance, in a visual map of the next ten years.
The Ten-Year Forecast program is an ongoing research effort. Membership for each year includes attendance at the TYF Annual Retreat, three print copies of the annual Ten-Year Forecast research and annual Map of the Decade, as well as electronic access to the Ten-Year Forecast member-only website. This member-only website contains presentations, processes, tools, and other materials that are never shared publicly.
Become a Member Today
For more details on the Ten-Year Forecast Program or how to become a member, contact Sean Ness at firstname.lastname@example.org or 650-233-9517.