A blog post on Leaders Make the Future co-authored by Bob Johansen and Deepa Mehta
If you've been to the Institute recently, you’ve probably seen this:
Designed by Jason Tester in 2008, this is a remaking of the 1964 World's Faire logo that once read "I have seen the future" into "I am making the future". This is a call to...
Can the U.S. Navy be resourceful with fewer resources? The Navy needs your ideas starting May 22nd.
Everyone knows the saying: necessity is the mother of invention. And what we need now is invention on the scale of the world’s strongest navy—the U.S. Navy:
283 ships in active service
3700 aircraft
300,000+ active personnel
serving 280+ million citizens
That’s a lot of energy demand. But it’s also a lot of potentially untapped resources for meeting that demand. "A crowd-sourced approach is perfect for this particular topic of energy efficiency and Naval...
For most of its history, using the Internet has involved conforming and contorting to the logic, architecture, and input/output mechanisms of machine networks. Humans have genuflected before immobile computer screens, tethered our limbs to mice and keyboards, and craned our necks to use the smartphone screens in our hands. The human experience of the Internet, however, will change dramatically in the next ten years. The technical and network foundations are being laid that will allow humans to interface with the network much more naturally and effectively. The new Internet geometry will allow permeability, flexibility, and the...
Via Springwise comes word of a couple of intriguing ideas about how to enable people to shame themselves toward better health. The first, a refrigerator magnet from Brazil attaches to your refrigerator, and will automatically alert your social network any time you open up your fridge for a late night snack--in an effort to make you eat less. The second, a photo sharing app, automatically shares an...
About a decade ago now, the British Medical Journal ran one of my favorite academic parodies - a review article that attempted to conduct a meta-analysis of whether or not wearing a parachute when jumping from a plane could help prevent injury or death. Finding no one had studied the subject, the authors concluded:
As with many interventions intended to prevent ill health, the effectiveness of parachutes has not been subjected to rigorous evaluation by using randomised controlled trials. Advocates of evidence based medicine have criticised the adoption of...
From April 24-26, Ten-Year Forecast members gathered together at Cavallo
Point in Sausalito, CA for the program's 2012 Annual Retreat, titled A Century of Transformation, A Decade of Turbulence. The conference explored the six fundamental shifts that will shape the century to come.
We find ourselves facing a gap between the familiar past and an alien future. Our incumbent path is predicated on trends that may well have reached their peaks, yet the emergent path has not yet taken shape. The props of our historical strategies—open spaces, cheap fossil fuel, abundant natural resources—...
Bob Johansen shares nearly 40 years of expertise as a ten-year forecaster at IFTF in this book about leadership and decision-making. This book is for any leader who wants to successfully navigate the challenges of the present and find opportunities to thrive in the future.
My latest Fast Coexist piece is up here. It takes a look at how pay for success bonds could help fund a health system that focuses on social and environmental prevention.
Here's an excerpt:
One solution to begin addressing this imbalance comes from an intriguing white paper (PDF) released by the California Endowment and put together by UC Berkeley researchers Maria Hernandez and Len Syme, and an organization called Collective Health. They argue that emerging kinds of impact investing--namely a kind of pay for success...
Health Horizons is pleased to announce that Brinda Dalal has joined our team as a research director. Brinda's career has spanned two decades and three continents. Her research has taken her to India, where she co-developed micro-credit and housing programs with local women, and to Japan, where she explored high-tech innovation. She’s worked for Xerox’s Palo Alto Research Center, co-founding their clean technology initiative and helping to inspire the invention of toner-less printing and erasable paper—which won top environmental innovation awards from Time magazine and the Wall...
California’s innovation engine has the potential to shift the economy to a cleaner and more resilient future. Next 10, a nonpartisan nonprofit just released the 2012 California Green Innovation Index. In its fourth edition, this important document illustrates along multiple measures that you can indeed choose both, environmental improvement and economic growth. I’ve had the honor of working with the Next 10 team and their impressive group of advisors on this and the prior three editions in addition to the three editions of...
This set of Health Horizons forecast perspectives offers a view of six key areas of experimentation that operate across the scales of bodies, networks, and environments. These experiments emerge as responses to six key questions shaping health and well-being.
Why Time Matters by Kathi Vian
New research into our bodies’internal clocks is revealing that personal timing mechanisms shape the effects...
The 2011 Map of the Decade (PDF) is all about balancing acts. From the strategic balances at the bottom to the resilient households at the top, it is both a snapshot of the decade ahead and a guide to the task of rebalancing the world. It’s a starting place for exploring the social innovations that will create an entirely new strategic toolkit for addressing the world’s imbalances while...