NEW REPORT: Rethinking Business Models in the Global Health Economy

I am pleased to present the latest report from the Health Horizons Program--Rethinking Business Models in the Global Health Economy: A Toolkit for Innovation (SR-1038).

From the introduction:

Spring Conference: New Media Technologies & the Biocitizen

The Health Horizons Spring Conference is May 23-24 at the Mission Bay Conference Center in San Francisco, CA!

New Media Technologies & the Biocitizen

HH Signals Series: Ecological Health Literacy

I am pleased to present the latest edition in the Health Horizons Signals Series: Ecological Health Literacy (SR-978C).

Higher Education Will Become More Global

"As more and more students across the globe study outside their home countries, higher education is becoming more international in several ways. Two million university student--or about 2% of the world’s total student populatiop--studied outside their native countries in 2003. Increasingly, these students are making more diverse choices about what they study and where.
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Will smart networkers change the consumer paradigm?

"We're releasing in the first of the 2005 TYF Perspectives today. It's an analysis of our 2004 IFTF Lifestyles Survey that focuses on a new segment we're calling "smart networkers."
For this analysis, we developed a networking IQ index based on six factors: group participation, referral behavior, online lifestyle, personal mobile connectivity, locative activity, and computer connectivity. We then used the index to assign networking IQs to the 2,014 people in our survey looked for correlations between between IQ and other behaviors.

Shortages of Health Care Workers Will Create Have/Have Not Countries

"Facing and acute health care worker shortage, the United States will likely modify its visa policies and recruit aggressively abroad for workers, particularly nurses. This will increase competition with other developed countries for those workers and siphon badly-needed talent from the struggling health care systems of developing countries.
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Health Care Costs Will Drive a Demand for Universal Coverage

"Although the failure of the Clinton health reform effort rendered the issue politically radioactive, soaring costs to business and consumers will soon create the momentum for fundamental change in the health care structure. The outcome is likely to be a model based on the Federal Employees Health Benefits Program, which gives participants a choice of private health plans with the federal government contributing 72% of the premium.
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Humanity Will Adapt to Unprecedented Numbers of Elderly

"In every country in the world, the mean age is increasing. Over the next three decades, increased life expectancy and low fertility rates will result in a growing proportion of the population over 65. These trends are true for both advanced and developing countries, although advanced countries are further along the aging curve. Nevertheless, by 2025, two-thirds of the world's elderly will live in developing nations, creating new challenges for these countries as they try to compete in the global economy and stressing their already understaffed health care systems.

Economics: Global Production Networks (GPNs) Will Grow Regional Economies

"The world economy is increasingly becoming globally integrated. New products are dreamed up in advanced nations, assembled in developing nations, and sold throughout the world.
The underlying structure for this integration is the global production network (GPN), and several indicators provide a measure of who is benefiting most from this new economic structure: while advanced economies are achieving productivity gains, a few select nations are achieving much accelerated growth.
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2004 Map of the Decade

"The future is an intersection of trends and aspirations, of memory and imagination.
History sets the course, but innovation and improvisation create discontinuities. Each year, the Institute for the Future (IFTF) seeks to map this sometimes-confusing grid of probabilities and possibilities to create a framework for thinking about the choices we face right now, today.